STOCKWATCH: The church of perverse success
This article was originally published in Scrip
Executive Summary
Is it perverse to associate highly successful sectors with the potential to reverse that success? The fact that business cycles exist is one proof that it's not perverse to associate outsized success with at least mean reversion. Another is the 2013 rise of the technology sector and the more recent decline of the PC market which has led most industry-watchers to predict a very different 2014 for technology.